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Red37
382222.4
516021.7
76716.0
Blue22
33368.0
591914.0
978916.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555730405060703722

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+17Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +20
6Coral scored#1
20Coral points4
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
24Total teleop4
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
37Total score22

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.41.5
24.322.8
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End2.2
red by 5.5
9789
#18
16.91.7
17.716.0
Auto5.5
Teleop9.8
End1.6
Second
5160
#22
21.70.9
20.219.3
Auto4.5
Teleop17.4
End-0.2
red by 7.7
5919
#26
14.01.7
15.513.8
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Third
7671
#29
6.00.9
6.05.1
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End1.2
blue by 2.0
3336
#28
8.02.9
14.611.7
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed