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Red69
820519.1
830415.7
624221.1
Blue114
456141.9
900834.9
929728.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3910505015069114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+43
Endgame+45
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +39
8Coral scored#14
30Coral points49
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#6
12Processor points12
4Net points24
16Algae points36
46Total teleop85
Reef
4L4#8
2L3#2
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points0
69Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.9
17.918.8
Auto3.1
Teleop11.3
End6.7
blue by 20.8
41.90.8
35.736.4
Auto8.5
Teleop27.0
End6.4
Second
8205
#27
19.11.4
14.215.7
Auto4.3
Teleop13.7
End1.1
blue by 15.7
34.90.8
31.131.9
Auto4.6
Teleop26.9
End3.4
Third
8304
#25
15.71.4
8.910.4
Auto4.7
Teleop10.6
End0.4
blue by 12.9
9297
#14
28.61.3
23.624.9
Auto4.8
Teleop21.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned