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Red92
482829.5
874622.9
516021.7
Blue87
205941.0
264226.8
820519.1
20%Model gave it80%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70904060801001201409287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+11
Endgame+13
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +4
13Coral scored#15
45Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
63Total teleop67
Reef
3L4#9
6L3#3
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
18Foul points0
92Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4828
#15
29.50.5
24.925.5
Auto4.6
Teleop22.8
End2.1
blue by 11.5
2059
#17
41.00.4
38.939.4
Auto8.2
Teleop30.4
End2.4
Second
8746
#11
22.90.5
22.923.5
Auto3.0
Teleop18.7
End1.2
blue by 3.9
26.80.4
25.826.3
Auto4.4
Teleop21.4
End1.0
Third
5160
#22
21.70.5
18.218.7
Auto4.5
Teleop17.4
End-0.2
red by 2.6
8205
#27
19.10.6
15.616.2
Auto4.3
Teleop13.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed