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Red61
875817.2
382222.4
600423.8
Blue47
76716.0
624011.5
551116.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions903802060801001201401606147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+18Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
6Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
15Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +13
9Coral scored#6
34Coral points23
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
44Total teleop31
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
61Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6004
#10
23.81.3
24.823.5
Auto5.1
Teleop17.2
End1.5
red by 7.2
16.60.3
15.716.0
Auto4.7
Teleop10.1
End1.7
Second
22.41.6
24.723.1
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End2.2
red by 10.8
6240
#24
11.50.3
10.911.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End1.5
Third
8758
#21
17.21.3
18.817.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End3.8
red by 11.2
7671
#29
6.00.3
5.05.3
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed