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Red94
650037.2
482829.5
591914.0
Blue53
600423.8
929618.4
1007223.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions865501001502009453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+29Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +26
14Coral scored#7
49Coral points25
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
69Total teleop43
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
94Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.20.9
30.631.5
Auto7.8
Teleop23.9
End5.5
red by 13.5
6004
#10
23.80.8
22.021.2
Auto5.1
Teleop17.2
End1.5
Second
4828
#15
29.50.9
28.429.3
Auto4.6
Teleop22.8
End2.1
red by 6.2
23.30.8
16.715.9
Auto5.3
Teleop16.2
End1.9
Third
5919
#26
14.00.9
14.315.1
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End1.8
blue by 4.4
9296
#20DQ
18.41.3
16.815.5
Auto4.3
Teleop12.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed