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Red74
624221.1
600423.8
875817.2
Blue88
76716.0
482829.5
264226.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions767140601001207488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+20
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +2
6Leave3
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points13
18Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +22
9Coral scored#13
34Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
44Total teleop66
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#6
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#20
BargeRed +6
12Cage & park6
12Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
74Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6004
#10
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto5.1
Teleop17.2
End1.5
blue by 5.7
4828
#15
29.50.4
28.829.2
Auto4.6
Teleop22.8
End2.1
Second
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto3.1
Teleop11.3
End6.7
blue by 5.7
26.80.4
26.226.6
Auto4.4
Teleop21.4
End1.0
Third
8758
#21
17.20.0
17.317.2
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End3.8
red by 11.2
7671
#29
6.00.4
5.45.8
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End1.2