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Red148
456141.9
453440.5
820519.1
Blue98
516021.7
519012.3
1007223.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1135905010015014898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+28Teleop
+38Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave9
4Coral scored#1
18Coral points7
27Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +17
16Coral scored#14
59Coral points50
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#2
18Processor points18
16Net points8
34Algae points26
93Total teleop76
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#4
6L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +50
12Foul points0
148Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.90.5
40.240.7
Auto8.5
Teleop27.0
End6.4
red by 18.5
23.30.5
23.023.5
Auto5.3
Teleop16.2
End1.9
Second
40.50.6
38.639.2
Auto10.7
Teleop26.9
End3.0
red by 18.8
5160
#22
21.70.5
21.421.9
Auto4.5
Teleop17.4
End-0.2
Third
8205
#27
19.10.5
17.418.0
Auto4.3
Teleop13.7
End1.1
red by 6.8
5190
#13
12.30.5
12.012.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.4
End2.9