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Red74
624011.5
929618.4
205941.0
Blue92
624221.1
482829.5
373727.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76840501502002503003504007492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +7
9Coral scored#13
31Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
49Total teleop56
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
74Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2059
#17
41.00.3
40.841.0
Auto8.2
Teleop30.4
End2.4
red by 11.5
4828
#15
29.51.2
26.928.1
Auto4.6
Teleop22.8
End2.1
Second
9296
#20
18.40.3
18.118.4
Auto4.3
Teleop12.2
End1.9
blue by 9.4
27.81.2
26.527.7
Auto4.1
Teleop15.5
End8.3
Third
6240
#24
11.50.3
11.311.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End1.5
blue by 9.6
21.11.2
20.421.6
Auto3.1
Teleop11.3
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed81%Barge oddsEarned