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Red58
516021.7
519012.3
1007223.3
Blue105
76716.0
482829.5
264226.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676630405060809010011058105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+29
Endgame+33
Fouls+47
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +29
7Coral scored#11
24Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
34Total teleop63
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +47
6Foul points20
58Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.2
23.523.3
Auto5.3
Teleop16.2
End1.9
blue by 6.2
4828
#15
29.50.5
28.328.8
Auto4.6
Teleop22.8
End2.1
Second
5160
#22
21.70.2
21.921.7
Auto4.5
Teleop17.4
End-0.2
blue by 5.1
26.80.5
25.626.2
Auto4.4
Teleop21.4
End1.0
Third
5190
#13
12.30.2
12.512.3
Auto4.0
Teleop5.4
End2.9
red by 6.3
7671
#29
6.00.5
4.85.4
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End1.2