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Red146
900834.9
650037.2
830415.7
Blue99
373727.8
651215.7
382222.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1047420406012014016018014699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+59Teleop
+49Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave0
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +48
21Coral scored#16
75Coral points57
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
24Processor points6
20Net points8
44Algae points14
119Total teleop71
Reef
6L4#6
7L3#5
5L2#4
6L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points2
146Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.20.9
36.537.5
Auto7.8
Teleop23.9
End5.5
red by 9.4
27.80.4
27.527.8
Auto4.1
Teleop15.5
End8.3
Second
34.90.9
34.235.1
Auto4.6
Teleop26.9
End3.4
red by 12.5
22.40.4
22.022.4
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End2.2
Third
8304
#25
15.70.9
15.116.0
Auto4.7
Teleop10.6
End0.4
red by 0.1
6512
#19
15.70.4
15.315.7
Auto3.0
Teleop8.0
End4.6