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Red56
153342.3
264011.6
872729.9
Blue33
36809.4
572737.3
87576.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1136201502002503005633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+25Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave3
3Coral scored#0
15Coral points0
24Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +4
6Coral scored#4
20Coral points14
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
32Total teleop28
Reef
5L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
56Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.32.8
46.443.6
Auto10.5
Teleop26.1
End5.7
red by 4.9
37.32.0
44.342.3
Auto5.7
Teleop29.6
End2.1
Second
29.92.8
34.031.2
Auto8.8
Teleop19.8
End1.2
red by 20.5
3680
#10
9.42.0
11.39.3
Auto2.4
Teleop6.1
End0.9
Third
2640
#21
11.62.8
17.614.8
Auto1.6
Teleop9.0
End1.0
red by 5.1
8757
#18
6.52.0
7.65.6
Auto1.3
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed