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Red67
319621.0
99963.4
58739.2
Blue47
693215.4
1007715.0
350619.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions925501502006747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+24Teleop
+22Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +20
8Coral scored#7
30Coral points24
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
54Total teleop34
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points2
67Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#1
39.20.2
39.439.1
Auto9.6
Teleop25.4
End4.1
red by 19.6
19.60.6
18.017.4
Auto2.9
Teleop14.5
End2.2
Second
3196
#16
21.00.2
22.622.3
Auto2.4
Teleop18.5
End0.1
red by 5.7
6932
#19
15.40.6
17.216.5
Auto1.7
Teleop7.6
End6.2
Third
9996
#11
3.40.4
2.72.3
Auto1.7
Teleop1.1
End0.5
blue by 11.6
15.00.6
13.913.3
Auto4.6
Teleop9.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsMissed