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Red44
66396.9
99963.4
572737.3
Blue110
1007715.0
126232.6
929818.8
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6257020408010012044110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+52
Endgame+66
Fouls+66
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
6Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +38
8Coral scored#13
28Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
38Total teleop76
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +66
0Foul points0
44Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.31.2
42.341.1
Auto5.7
Teleop29.6
End2.1
red by 4.7
32.62.9
27.029.9
Auto3.5
Teleop28.3
End0.7
Second
6639
#24
6.91.2
6.04.8
Auto1.4
Teleop4.7
End0.6
blue by 11.9
9298
#17
18.82.9
15.118.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.8
End3.1
Third
9996
#11
3.42.1
2.30.3
Auto1.7
Teleop1.1
End0.5
blue by 11.6
15.02.9
13.316.2
Auto4.6
Teleop9.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsEarned