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Red45
350619.6
153342.3
51904.8
Blue20
915024.7
453436.2
12255.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72800501001502002503003504004520

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +25
7Coral scored#3
25Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
35Total teleop10
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
45Total score20

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.31.4
41.540.1
Auto10.5
Teleop26.1
End5.7
red by 6.0
4534
#12
36.23.4
39.536.1
Auto9.6
Teleop24.7
End2.0
Second
19.61.4
17.416.0
Auto2.9
Teleop14.5
End2.2
blue by 5.0
24.73.4
23.620.3
Auto3.4
Teleop20.5
End0.7
Third
5190
#23
4.81.4
7.66.1
Auto1.9
Teleop1.5
End1.4
blue by 1.0
1225
#13
5.93.4
7.44.0
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed