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Red101
998215.3
350619.6
319621.0
Blue40
87576.5
929818.8
453436.2
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4010105015020010140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+67Teleop
+67Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
9Leave3
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
15Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +55
18Coral scored#6
66Coral points21
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
12Processor points6
4Net points0
16Algae points6
82Total teleop27
Reef
7L4#2
5L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points6
101Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3196
#16
21.03.4
17.921.3
Auto2.4
Teleop18.5
End0.1
blue by 15.2
4534
#12
36.23.6
47.543.9
Auto9.6
Teleop24.7
End2.0
Second
19.63.4
13.616.9
Auto2.9
Teleop14.5
End2.2
red by 0.8
9298
#17
18.83.6
21.918.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.8
End3.1
Third
15.35.6
10.015.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.9
End3.5
red by 8.8
8757
#18
6.53.6
11.27.6
Auto1.3
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsEarned