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Red8
264011.6
1007715.0
99963.4
Blue37
915024.7
493513.8
693215.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54770100150200837

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+29
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +29
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points15
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
0Total teleop29
Reef
1L4#1
0L3#1
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
8Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.02.3
17.615.3
Auto4.6
Teleop9.9
End0.4
blue by 9.7
24.71.7
24.222.4
Auto3.4
Teleop20.5
End0.7
Second
2640
#21
11.62.3
19.917.6
Auto1.6
Teleop9.0
End1.0
blue by 3.8
6932
#19
15.41.7
19.617.8
Auto1.7
Teleop7.6
End6.2
Third
9996
#11
3.43.8
4.70.9
Auto1.7
Teleop1.1
End0.5
blue by 10.4
4935
#15
13.81.7
19.017.3
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsMissed