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Red152
153342.3
126232.6
900511.2
Blue132
350619.6
688819.3
915024.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94610150200250300350152132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+16Teleop
+14Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave9
4Coral scored#1
18Coral points7
27Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +5
20Coral scored#17
73Coral points62
3Processor algae#4
6Net algae#6
18Processor points24
24Net points24
42Algae points48
115Total teleop110
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#6
8L2#2
5L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +20
6Foul points0
152Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.31.1
40.341.4
Auto10.5
Teleop26.1
End5.7
red by 17.6
24.71.1
23.524.7
Auto3.4
Teleop20.5
End0.7
Second
32.61.1
30.731.7
Auto3.5
Teleop28.3
End0.7
red by 13.0
19.61.1
18.519.6
Auto2.9
Teleop14.5
End2.2
Third
9005
#14
11.21.1
9.210.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End1.2
blue by 8.2
6888
#22
19.31.1
18.219.3
Auto2.0
Teleop13.2
End4.2