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Red126
350619.6
688819.3
915024.7
Blue66
36809.4
493513.8
66396.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions662505010015012666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+42Teleop
+42Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
19Coral scored#11
68Coral points39
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
82Total teleop47
Reef
11L4#4
4L3#4
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +60
24Foul points6
126Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.7
22.823.5
Auto3.4
Teleop20.5
End0.7
red by 10.8
4935
#15
13.80.5
13.313.8
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Second
19.60.7
17.818.5
Auto2.9
Teleop14.5
End2.2
red by 10.2
3680
#10
9.40.5
8.99.4
Auto2.4
Teleop6.1
End0.9
Third
6888
#22
19.30.7
17.518.2
Auto2.0
Teleop13.2
End4.2
red by 12.5
6639
#24
6.90.5
6.46.9
Auto1.4
Teleop4.7
End0.6