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Red118
58739.2
453436.2
872729.9
Blue117
153342.3
126232.6
900511.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11579050150200250300350118117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+1
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points17
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +8
17Coral scored#17
62Coral points62
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
72Total teleop80
Reef
8L4#5
7L3#7
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
118Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#1
39.20.4
37.938.3
Auto9.6
Teleop25.4
End4.1
blue by 3.1
42.30.9
39.440.3
Auto10.5
Teleop26.1
End5.7
Second
4534
#12
36.20.4
34.935.3
Auto9.6
Teleop24.7
End2.0
red by 3.6
32.60.9
29.830.7
Auto3.5
Teleop28.3
End0.7
Third
29.90.4
28.629.0
Auto8.8
Teleop19.8
End1.2
red by 18.7
9005
#14
11.20.9
8.39.2
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End1.2