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Red118
350619.6
688819.3
915024.7
Blue109
319621.0
560712.9
87576.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68410100150200118109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+1
Endgame+1
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave9
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points25
16Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +17
18Coral scored#13
66Coral points45
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
86Total teleop69
Reef
8L4#5
5L3#6
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +9
10Foul points0
118Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.8
22.122.8
Auto3.4
Teleop20.5
End0.7
red by 3.6
3196
#16
21.01.3
19.821.0
Auto2.4
Teleop18.5
End0.1
Second
19.60.8
17.017.8
Auto2.9
Teleop14.5
End2.2
red by 6.8
12.91.3
11.612.9
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End0.2
Third
6888
#22
19.30.8
16.717.5
Auto2.0
Teleop13.2
End4.2
red by 12.8
8757
#18
6.51.3
5.36.5
Auto1.3
Teleop4.0
End1.3