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Red73
998215.3
51904.8
572737.3
Blue78
36809.4
493513.8
66396.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63190501001502007378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave0
4Coral scored#2
22Coral points9
22Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +18
8Coral scored#10
29Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
6Processor points6
0Net points12
6Algae points18
35Total teleop53
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#4
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
73Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.4
37.037.3
Auto5.7
Teleop29.6
End2.1
red by 23.5
4935
#15
13.81.2
12.113.3
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Second
15.30.6
14.715.3
Auto3.7
Teleop7.9
End3.5
red by 5.9
3680
#10
9.41.2
7.78.9
Auto2.4
Teleop6.1
End0.9
Third
5190
#23
4.80.4
4.54.8
Auto1.9
Teleop1.5
End1.4
blue by 2.1
6639
#24
6.91.2
5.26.4
Auto1.4
Teleop4.7
End0.6