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Red47
12255.9
929818.8
264011.6
Blue93
319621.0
560712.9
87576.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414302060804793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+36
Endgame+34
Fouls+46
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +39
9Coral scored#15
31Coral points54
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
35Total teleop74
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points12
47Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9298
#17
18.80.0
18.818.8
Auto3.9
Teleop11.8
End3.1
blue by 2.3
3196
#16
21.00.7
19.119.8
Auto2.4
Teleop18.5
End0.1
Second
2640
#21
11.60.0
11.611.6
Auto1.6
Teleop9.0
End1.0
blue by 1.3
12.90.7
10.911.6
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End0.2
Third
1225
#13
5.90.0
5.95.9
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End2.1
blue by 0.6
8757
#18
6.50.7
4.65.3
Auto1.3
Teleop4.0
End1.3