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Red51
264023.4
319620.5
99712.0
Blue60
58747.6
1007720.2
9974-5.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions488401001502005160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+7
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +1
8Coral scored#10
28Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
46Total teleop47
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#4
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
51Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.2
27.127.3
Auto1.9
Teleop18.7
End2.6
blue by 24.2
587
#1
47.61.0
49.348.3
Auto10.6
Teleop32.1
End4.8
Second
20.50.2
20.720.9
Auto2.9
Teleop16.7
End0.7
red by 0.3
20.21.0
23.422.4
Auto5.7
Teleop13.2
End1.1
Third
9971
#12Sur
2.00.4
0.00.4
Auto-1.0
Teleop4.6
End-1.2
red by 7.5
9974
#15Sur
-5.41.6
1.90.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop-4.3
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed