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Red12
663915.0
519012.9
9972-3.7
Blue45
915022.6
998210.0
99751.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36150501001502002501245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+23
Endgame+21
Fouls+33
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +23
1Coral scored#6
2Coral points21
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
2Total teleop25
Reef
1L4#1
0L3#2
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points12
12Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.01.4
21.820.4
Auto2.7
Teleop11.3
End0.8
blue by 7.6
22.60.9
20.221.1
Auto3.5
Teleop17.7
End1.1
Second
12.91.4
14.813.4
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End1.8
red by 2.9
10.01.5
1.63.1
Auto1.8
Teleop6.0
End2.1
Third
9972
#10Sur
-3.72.3
-4.2-6.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop-2.5
End-0.3
blue by 4.8
9975
#14Sur
1.11.5
-2.4-0.9
Auto1.3
Teleop0.8
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed4%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed