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Red28
350613.8
319620.5
9973-2.2
Blue33
1007720.2
264023.4
9976-2.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions446702060801001201401602833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+5
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +2
5Coral scored#4
17Coral points15
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
21Total teleop23
Reef
3L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
2Foul points2
28Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.5
20.920.5
Auto2.9
Teleop16.7
End0.7
blue by 2.9
23.41.5
27.325.8
Auto1.9
Teleop18.7
End2.6
Second
13.80.5
13.613.1
Auto1.8
Teleop8.4
End3.4
blue by 6.4
20.21.5
22.420.9
Auto5.7
Teleop13.2
End1.1
Third
9973
#11Sur
-2.20.8
-1.6-2.3
Auto0.5
Teleop-1.7
End-0.6
blue by 0.1
9976
#13Sur
-2.12.6
4.31.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop-1.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed