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Red46
998210.0
350613.8
99712.0
Blue19
915022.6
663915.0
9974-5.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7412060801001201401604619

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+13Teleop
+15Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +19
6Coral scored#2
22Coral points7
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
30Total teleop11
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
8Game pieces#3
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
12Foul points0
46Total score19

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.81.2
13.114.3
Auto1.8
Teleop8.4
End3.4
blue by 8.8
22.61.5
21.119.6
Auto3.5
Teleop17.7
End1.1
Second
10.01.9
3.15.0
Auto1.8
Teleop6.0
End2.1
blue by 5.0
15.01.5
20.418.9
Auto2.7
Teleop11.3
End0.8
Third
9971
#12Sur
2.01.9
0.42.3
Auto-1.0
Teleop4.6
End-1.2
red by 7.5
9974
#15Sur
-5.42.5
0.3-2.2
Auto-0.7
Teleop-4.3
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
6%Auto oddsMissed7%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed