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Red32
519012.9
998210.0
9972-3.7
Blue44
58747.6
319620.5
99751.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9850501001502003244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+16
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +9
4Coral scored#5
14Coral points17
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
22Total teleop31
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#11
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
32Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.91.3
13.414.8
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End1.8
blue by 34.7
587
#1
47.61.6
48.346.7
Auto10.6
Teleop32.1
End4.8
Second
10.02.2
5.07.3
Auto1.8
Teleop6.0
End2.1
blue by 10.5
20.51.6
20.518.9
Auto2.9
Teleop16.7
End0.7
Third
9972
#10Sur
-3.72.2
-6.5-4.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop-2.5
End-0.3
blue by 4.8
9975
#14Sur
1.12.7
-0.9-3.5
Auto1.3
Teleop0.8
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
7%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed