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Red72
915022.6
58747.6
9973-2.2
Blue17
264023.4
663915.0
9976-2.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions865101001507217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+55Teleop
+55Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
13Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +45
10Coral scored#3
35Coral points10
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
12Processor points0
8Net points0
20Algae points0
55Total teleop10
Reef
5L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
15Game pieces#3
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points0
72Total score17

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#1
47.60.5
46.747.2
Auto10.6
Teleop32.1
End4.8
red by 24.2
23.42.0
25.823.8
Auto1.9
Teleop18.7
End2.6
Second
22.60.5
19.620.2
Auto3.5
Teleop17.7
End1.1
red by 7.6
15.02.0
18.916.9
Auto2.7
Teleop11.3
End0.8
Third
9973
#11Sur
-2.20.9
-2.3-1.4
Auto0.5
Teleop-1.7
End-0.6
blue by 0.1
9976
#13Sur
-2.13.3
1.7-1.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop-1.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed