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Red47
519012.9
915022.6
99712.0
Blue20
350613.8
1007720.2
9974-5.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35260204060801004720

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+15Teleop
+15Endgame
+27Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +15
4Coral scored#3
15Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
25Total teleop10
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
12Foul points0
47Total score20

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.1
20.220.0
Auto3.5
Teleop17.7
End1.1
red by 2.4
20.20.9
20.920.0
Auto5.7
Teleop13.2
End1.1
Second
12.90.1
14.814.6
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End1.8
blue by 0.8
13.80.9
14.313.4
Auto1.8
Teleop8.4
End3.4
Third
9971
#12Sur
2.00.2
2.32.1
Auto-1.0
Teleop4.6
End-1.2
red by 7.5
9974
#15Sur
-5.41.4
-2.2-3.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop-4.3
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed