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Red29
998210.0
319620.5
9973-2.2
Blue35
264023.4
350613.8
9976-2.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403901020305060702935

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave0
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto0
TeleoperatedBlue +8
4Coral scored#8
15Coral points27
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
23Total teleop31
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#2
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
29Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.3
18.919.2
Auto2.9
Teleop16.7
End0.7
blue by 2.9
23.40.0
23.823.8
Auto1.9
Teleop18.7
End2.6
Second
10.00.5
7.37.7
Auto1.8
Teleop6.0
End2.1
blue by 3.8
13.80.0
13.413.4
Auto1.8
Teleop8.4
End3.4
Third
9973
#11Sur
-2.20.5
-1.4-1.0
Auto0.5
Teleop-1.7
End-0.6
blue by 0.1
9976
#13Sur
-2.10.1
-1.5-1.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop-1.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
10%Auto oddsMissed12%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed