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Red34
264023.4
350613.8
99712.0
Blue11
663915.0
519012.9
9974-5.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3823060801001201403411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+29Teleop
+29Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +32
6Coral scored#0
22Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
32Total teleop0
Reef
3L4#0
1L3#0
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
8Game pieces#0
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points6
34Total score11

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.3
23.823.4
Auto1.9
Teleop18.7
End2.6
red by 8.5
15.01.5
16.314.8
Auto2.7
Teleop11.3
End0.8
Second
13.80.3
13.413.0
Auto1.8
Teleop8.4
End3.4
red by 0.8
12.91.5
14.913.4
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Third
9971
#12Sur
2.00.6
2.11.5
Auto-1.0
Teleop4.6
End-1.2
red by 7.5
9974
#15Sur
-5.42.5
-3.7-6.2
Auto-0.7
Teleop-4.3
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
7%Auto oddsMissed13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed