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Red80
915022.6
1007720.2
9972-3.7
Blue24
264023.4
519012.9
99751.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616701001502002503003508024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+18Teleop
+18Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave3
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +12
7Coral scored#4
25Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
31Total teleop19
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
38Foul points0
80Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.61.4
24.222.8
Auto3.5
Teleop17.7
End1.1
blue by 0.8
23.43.0
37.334.2
Auto1.9
Teleop18.7
End2.6
Second
20.21.4
29.528.1
Auto5.7
Teleop13.2
End1.1
red by 7.2
12.93.0
23.320.3
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Third
9972
#10Sur
-3.72.3
9.16.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop-2.5
End-0.3
blue by 4.8
9975
#14Sur
1.15.1
9.14.0
Auto1.3
Teleop0.8
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed