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Red43
58747.6
350613.8
9973-2.2
Blue24
998210.0
1007720.2
9976-2.1
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1184401001502002504324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+17Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave6
2Coral scored#0
8Coral points0
17Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +6
4Coral scored#3
16Coral points10
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
6Processor points6
0Net points0
6Algae points6
22Total teleop16
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
43Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#1
47.63.0
58.855.9
Auto10.6
Teleop32.1
End4.8
red by 27.5
20.21.2
28.126.9
Auto5.7
Teleop13.2
End1.1
Second
13.83.0
19.416.4
Auto1.8
Teleop8.4
End3.4
red by 3.8
10.02.0
5.23.2
Auto1.8
Teleop6.0
End2.1
Third
9973
#11Sur
-2.24.9
9.14.1
Auto0.5
Teleop-1.7
End-0.6
blue by 0.1
9976
#13Sur
-2.12.0
9.17.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop-1.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed