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Red32
264023.4
915022.6
99712.0
Blue28
319620.5
663915.0
9974-5.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635302040801001203228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+2Teleop
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
10Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +2
4Coral scored#5
16Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
20Total teleop22
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
32Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.41.9
34.232.3
Auto1.9
Teleop18.7
End2.6
red by 2.9
20.51.9
24.322.4
Auto2.9
Teleop16.7
End0.7
Second
22.61.9
22.821.0
Auto3.5
Teleop17.7
End1.1
red by 7.6
15.01.9
27.725.8
Auto2.7
Teleop11.3
End0.8
Third
9971
#12Sur
2.03.1
3.10.0
Auto-1.0
Teleop4.6
End-1.2
red by 7.5
9974
#15Sur
-5.43.2
5.21.9
Auto-0.7
Teleop-4.3
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed