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Red42
58747.6
264023.4
9972-3.7
Blue9
519012.9
350613.8
99751.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11629050100150200429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+37Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +34
7Coral scored#1
26Coral points2
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
36Total teleop2
Reef
3L4#1
1L3#0
1L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
9Game pieces#1
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
42Total score9

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#1
47.63.5
55.952.3
Auto10.6
Teleop32.1
End4.8
red by 33.9
13.82.1
16.414.3
Auto1.8
Teleop8.4
End3.4
Second
23.43.5
32.328.8
Auto1.9
Teleop18.7
End2.6
red by 10.5
12.92.1
20.318.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Third
9972
#10Sur
-3.75.9
6.80.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop-2.5
End-0.3
blue by 4.8
9975
#14Sur
1.13.5
4.00.5
Auto1.3
Teleop0.8
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed