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Red171
947053.2
879342.8
84160.2
Blue177
84665.1
801630.8
541962.2
49%Model gave it51%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1611660100200300400500600171177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+2
Endgame+2
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +25
0Leave0
7Coral scored#12
33Coral points58
33Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +23
27Coral scored#19
96Coral points69
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
124Total teleop101
Reef
14L4#10
7L3#9
7L2#5
6L1 · trough#7
40Game pieces#38
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points4
171Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#9
60.20.4
59.860.2
Auto12.4
Teleop40.3
End7.5
blue by 5.0
846
#4
65.10.4
64.865.1
Auto16.1
Teleop42.6
End6.5
Second
53.20.4
52.953.2
Auto11.9
Teleop39.6
End1.7
blue by 9.0
62.20.4
61.962.2
Auto16.5
Teleop37.0
End8.7
Third
8793
#15
42.80.4
42.542.8
Auto10.5
Teleop27.7
End4.6
red by 12.0
8016
#19
30.80.4
30.530.8
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End2.3