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Red190
947053.2
879342.8
84160.2
Blue143
84665.1
801630.8
541962.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1581680100200300400500190143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+51Teleop
+55Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
8Coral scored#9
38Coral points44
47Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +48
22Coral scored#17
79Coral points61
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
24Processor points6
20Net points8
44Algae points14
123Total teleop75
Reef
13L4#8
8L3#10
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#29
BargeRed +4
20Cage & park16
20Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points8
190Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#9
60.20.8
59.059.8
Auto12.4
Teleop40.3
End7.5
blue by 5.0
846
#4
65.10.5
65.364.8
Auto16.1
Teleop42.6
End6.5
Second
53.20.8
52.052.9
Auto11.9
Teleop39.6
End1.7
blue by 9.0
62.20.5
62.461.9
Auto16.5
Teleop37.0
End8.7
Third
8793
#15
42.80.8
41.642.5
Auto10.5
Teleop27.7
End4.6
red by 12.0
8016
#19
30.80.5
31.030.5
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End2.3