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Red165
947053.2
879342.8
84160.2
Blue170
84665.1
801630.8
541962.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1581670100200300400500600165170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+11
Endgame+11
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
8Coral scored#8
38Coral points42
44Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +4
18Coral scored#20
63Coral points71
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
12Processor points12
24Net points20
36Algae points32
99Total teleop103
Reef
9L4#10
10L3#10
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#35
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +5
6Foul points0
165Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#9
60.20.2
58.859.0
Auto12.4
Teleop40.3
End7.5
blue by 5.0
846
#4
65.10.3
65.065.3
Auto16.1
Teleop42.6
End6.5
Second
53.20.2
51.952.0
Auto11.9
Teleop39.6
End1.7
blue by 9.0
62.20.3
62.162.4
Auto16.5
Teleop37.0
End8.7
Third
8793
#15
42.80.2
41.541.6
Auto10.5
Teleop27.7
End4.6
red by 12.0
8016
#19
30.80.3
30.731.0
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End2.3