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Red129
490427.6
84043.7
415940.4
Blue190
84665.1
801630.8
541962.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110174050150200250300350129190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+39
Endgame+61
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave6
5Coral scored#8
23Coral points38
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +18
21Coral scored#24
76Coral points88
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
6Processor points12
20Net points20
26Algae points32
102Total teleop120
Reef
10L4#14
5L3#7
6L2#7
5L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points0
129Total score190

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
840
#10
43.70.4
43.343.7
Auto5.4
Teleop33.6
End4.7
blue by 21.4
846
#4
65.10.8
64.365.0
Auto16.1
Teleop42.6
End6.5
Second
4159
#12
40.40.4
40.040.4
Auto12.9
Teleop26.3
End1.1
blue by 21.9
62.20.8
61.462.1
Auto16.5
Teleop37.0
End8.7
Third
4904
#16
27.60.4
27.227.6
Auto5.8
Teleop21.3
End0.5
blue by 3.2
8016
#19
30.80.8
30.030.7
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End2.3