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Qual 102025 Northern California Invitational
Red70
903841.3
415940.4
681434.0
Blue108
661942.9
545832.0
325736.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13611105010015020070108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
Teleop+36
Endgame+40
Fouls+38
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave3
6Coral scored#2
29Coral points9
29Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +53
7Coral scored#16
25Coral points58
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
39Total teleop92
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#5
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
2Foul points0
70Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9038
#14
41.33.7
47.2→43.5
Auto12.5
Teleop28.8
End-0.0
blue by 1.6
6619
#6
42.90.2
35.3→35.6
Auto4.9
Teleop35.0
End3.0
Second
4159
#12
40.43.7
42.5→38.8
Auto12.9
Teleop26.3
End1.1
red by 4.4
3257
#20
36.00.2
31.6→31.9
Auto2.1
Teleop32.1
End1.8
Third
6814
#26
34.03.7
33.5→29.8
Auto8.3
Teleop24.3
End1.4
red by 2.0
5458
#21
32.00.2
37.3→37.6
Auto7.1
Teleop23.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed