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Red129
84665.1
550758.0
196741.5
Blue34
466920.1
203518.3
220436.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1859205015020025030012934

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+41Auto
+85Teleop
+95Endgame
+95Fouls
AutonomousRed +41
9Leave0
8Coral scored#2
42Coral points10
51Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +44
14Coral scored#4
50Coral points14
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
64Total teleop20
Reef
9L4#2
8L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#7
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +95
0Foul points0
129Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#4
65.12.5
61.358.8
Auto16.1
Teleop42.6
End6.5
red by 28.4
2204
#24
36.74.1
40.636.5
Auto8.8
Teleop25.9
End2.1
Second
58.02.5
62.359.8
Auto20.3
Teleop28.8
End8.9
red by 37.9
4669
#22
20.14.1
28.524.4
Auto4.9
Teleop13.9
End1.3
Third
1967
#17
41.52.5
42.640.2
Auto11.3
Teleop29.2
End0.9
red by 23.2
2035
#25
18.34.1
25.921.8
Auto6.0
Teleop11.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed