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Red141
661942.9
213557.3
135146.8
Blue105
84160.2
879342.8
835.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12415950100200250141105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+38Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave6
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points9
33Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +20
17Coral scored#14
62Coral points50
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
94Total teleop74
Reef
8L4#6
8L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
141Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.31.1
43.144.2
Auto16.6
Teleop37.7
End3.1
blue by 2.8
841
#9
60.23.0
56.153.1
Auto12.4
Teleop40.3
End7.5
Second
1351
#11
46.81.1
47.448.5
Auto13.7
Teleop31.6
End1.5
red by 4.0
8793
#15
42.83.0
39.836.8
Auto10.5
Teleop27.7
End4.6
Third
42.91.1
34.235.3
Auto4.9
Teleop35.0
End3.0
red by 7.2
8
#23
35.73.0
53.550.6
Auto8.1
Teleop23.7
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned