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Red75
196741.5
545832.0
490427.6
Blue118
876837.6
510443.1
947053.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161415010020025075118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+21
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +21
11Coral scored#12
39Coral points44
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
57Total teleop78
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
75Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1967
#17
41.52.4
45.042.6
Auto11.3
Teleop29.2
End0.9
blue by 11.7
53.20.7
50.549.9
Auto11.9
Teleop39.6
End1.7
Second
5458
#21
32.02.4
39.737.3
Auto7.1
Teleop23.0
End1.9
blue by 11.1
43.10.7
42.441.7
Auto6.0
Teleop29.8
End7.3
Third
4904
#16
27.62.4
26.023.6
Auto5.8
Teleop21.3
End0.5
blue by 10.0
8768
#13
37.60.7
35.134.4
Auto4.8
Teleop30.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsMissed48%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsEarned