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Red151
203518.3
84160.2
550758.0
Blue106
67048.1
84043.7
947053.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14215950100200151106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+13Teleop
+23Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave6
10Coral scored#4
48Coral points20
51Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +12
12Coral scored#17
42Coral points62
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
64Total teleop76
Reef
9L4#10
7L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
22Foul points0
151Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#9
60.20.4
53.152.7
Auto12.4
Teleop40.3
End7.5
red by 6.9
53.22.8
49.947.0
Auto11.9
Teleop39.6
End1.7
Second
58.00.4
59.859.4
Auto20.3
Teleop28.8
End8.9
red by 9.9
670
#18
48.12.8
53.350.4
Auto7.5
Teleop34.4
End6.1
Third
2035
#25
18.30.4
21.821.5
Auto6.0
Teleop11.2
End1.0
blue by 25.5
840
#10
43.72.8
45.542.7
Auto5.4
Teleop33.6
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed72%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsMissed