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Red127
510443.1
135146.8
541962.2
Blue96
835.7
876837.6
801630.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16511605010015020025012796

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave6
4Coral scored#0
21Coral points0
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +1
14Coral scored#12
49Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
67Total teleop66
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#3
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
6Foul points0
127Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.22.2
64.161.9
Auto16.5
Teleop37.0
End8.7
red by 24.6
8768
#13
37.61.7
34.432.8
Auto4.8
Teleop30.7
End2.1
Second
1351
#11
46.82.2
48.546.2
Auto13.7
Teleop31.6
End1.5
red by 11.1
8
#23
35.71.7
50.648.9
Auto8.1
Teleop23.7
End3.9
Third
43.12.2
41.739.5
Auto6.0
Teleop29.8
End7.3
red by 12.2
8016
#19
30.81.7
30.028.3
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned