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Red123
325736.0
641857.2
550758.0
Blue85
67048.1
203518.3
879342.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15911305010020025012385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
+32Teleop
+34Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave0
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points32
19Total auto32
TeleoperatedRed +45
13Coral scored#5
48Coral points17
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
72Total teleop27
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#4
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
16Foul points12
123Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.02.5
59.456.9
Auto20.3
Teleop28.8
End8.9
red by 9.9
670
#18
48.12.4
50.448.0
Auto7.5
Teleop34.4
End6.1
Second
57.22.5
52.650.1
Auto18.1
Teleop33.2
End5.9
red by 14.4
8793
#15
42.82.4
37.034.6
Auto10.5
Teleop27.7
End4.6
Third
3257
#20
36.02.5
31.929.4
Auto2.1
Teleop32.1
End1.8
red by 17.7
2035
#25
18.32.4
21.519.1
Auto6.0
Teleop11.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsEarned