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Red104
196741.5
661942.9
220436.7
Blue113
135146.8
490427.6
903841.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12012180100140160104113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+32
Teleop+13
Endgame+11
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +32
0Leave3
3Coral scored#8
13Coral points42
13Total auto45
TeleoperatedRed +19
19Coral scored#13
67Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
85Total teleop66
Reef
6L4#6
8L3#7
6L2#3
2L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
2Foul points0
104Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.90.7
35.634.9
Auto4.9
Teleop35.0
End3.0
blue by 3.9
1351
#11
46.80.0
46.246.2
Auto13.7
Teleop31.6
End1.5
Second
1967
#17
41.50.7
40.239.5
Auto11.3
Teleop29.2
End0.9
red by 0.2
9038
#14
41.30.0
43.543.5
Auto12.5
Teleop28.8
End-0.0
Third
2204
#24
36.70.7
36.535.8
Auto8.8
Teleop25.9
End2.1
red by 9.1
4904
#16
27.60.0
23.723.7
Auto5.8
Teleop21.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed