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Red129
510443.1
415940.4
801630.8
Blue211
84665.1
876837.6
213557.3
24%Model gave it76%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109153050200250129211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+80
Endgame+82
Fouls+82
AutonomousBlue +25
9Leave9
3Coral scored#8
17Coral points42
26Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +55
20Coral scored#28
73Coral points100
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#8
12Processor points12
4Net points32
16Algae points44
89Total teleop144
Reef
9L4#16
8L3#10
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +82
0Foul points0
129Total score211

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.10.5
39.540.1
Auto6.0
Teleop29.8
End7.3
blue by 22.1
846
#4
65.14.0
58.962.9
Auto16.1
Teleop42.6
End6.5
Second
4159
#12
40.40.5
38.839.4
Auto12.9
Teleop26.3
End1.1
blue by 17.0
57.34.0
45.449.4
Auto16.6
Teleop37.7
End3.1
Third
8016
#19
30.80.5
28.328.9
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End2.3
blue by 6.8
8768
#13
37.64.0
32.836.8
Auto4.8
Teleop30.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned