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Red88
84043.7
545832.0
835.7
Blue140
541962.2
84160.2
466920.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135149608010012016018020022088140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+38
Endgame+48
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +31
3Leave3
1Coral scored#7
3Coral points34
6Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +7
14Coral scored#18
50Coral points63
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
68Total teleop75
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#9
5L2#6
1L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points4
88Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
840
#10
43.72.7
42.739.9
Auto5.4
Teleop33.6
End4.7
blue by 18.5
62.20.3
61.961.6
Auto16.5
Teleop37.0
End8.7
Second
8
#23
35.72.7
48.946.2
Auto8.1
Teleop23.7
End3.9
blue by 24.5
841
#9
60.20.3
52.752.5
Auto12.4
Teleop40.3
End7.5
Third
5458
#21
32.02.7
37.634.8
Auto7.1
Teleop23.0
End1.9
red by 11.9
4669
#22
20.10.3
25.625.3
Auto4.9
Teleop13.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned