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Red90
510443.1
835.7
903841.3
Blue174
135146.8
550758.0
415940.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1401555010020090174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+22
Teleop+66
Endgame+76
Fouls+84
AutonomousBlue +22
9Leave0
3Coral scored#9
13Coral points44
22Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +44
13Coral scored#17
46Coral points62
1Processor algae#5
3Net algae#4
6Processor points30
12Net points16
18Algae points46
64Total teleop108
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#7
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#6
20Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +84
0Foul points8
90Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.13.4
40.136.7
Auto6.0
Teleop29.8
End7.3
blue by 14.9
58.00.8
56.957.7
Auto20.3
Teleop28.8
End8.9
Second
9038
#14
41.33.4
43.540.1
Auto12.5
Teleop28.8
End-0.0
blue by 5.6
1351
#11
46.80.8
46.247.0
Auto13.7
Teleop31.6
End1.5
Third
8
#23
35.73.4
46.242.8
Auto8.1
Teleop23.7
End3.9
blue by 4.7
4159
#12
40.40.8
39.440.2
Auto12.9
Teleop26.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
58%Coral oddsEarned29%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
80%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsEarned